the Art of War: statistics and player rankings

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Show how points were awarded in game

All-time rankings

These are the rankings of all players
  • having at least one ended game,
  • who want to be rated.
Your ranking here is computed by comparing your rating to those of more players, so your it will be different with respect to the one above. This is due to inflation, a well-known feature of ELO-like systems: you can look up wikipedia for more information.
playerall-time rank Mozbe's estimated victory probability ended games
1KillaKief981710%(compare)358
2sfatula980610%(compare)280
3Shabaka980111%(compare)302
4ivlivs979111%(compare)288
5Champace965819%(compare)200
6rubberduck965719%(compare)268
7BlckKnght965619%(compare)617
8birnn959221%(compare)417
9Sabelkatten953522%(compare)312
10imabot938125%(compare)135
11imdog934326%(compare)176
12Calsir933926%(compare)177
13Noeltje933226%(compare)477
14yrrah920128%(compare)25
15Zarby913228%(compare)31
16Silverman910228%(compare)55
17LordRandall908229%(compare)58
18julian878230%(compare)70
19Blackronin874831%(compare)58
20frawol873631%(compare)115
21WetRock873531%(compare)322
22StefanoZanotti865731%(compare)38
23cavetrolls863331%(compare)3
24deathzyy855331%(compare)69
25Ozzman848231%(compare)28
26bizio832832%(compare)26
27jerrykillyou824732%(compare)44
28chouxpomme782633%(compare)2
29mhswim748133%(compare)1
30lopezlorenz745134%(compare)1
31marcuza738934%(compare)10
32Hiark710134%(compare)3
33Churchill708634%(compare)1
34LuckyLuke708634%(compare)1
35astewart11708634%(compare)1
36Emerych702834%(compare)822
37zarathustra691034%(compare)1
38Sirrus669934%(compare)1
39MaxStirner668234%(compare)12
40teoavo75644035%(compare)99
41andymart16639235%(compare)3
42ChaosS635035%(compare)6
43dominator568935%(compare)1
44tnnnn564035%(compare)16
45animate558935%(compare)6
46ryang557935%(compare)2
47bramley.bomber545335%(compare)3
48seebnova543535%(compare)1
49frax224538435%(compare)765
50Patholas530435%(compare)2
51IMSmitticus514636%(compare)13
52Mithias509636%(compare)2
53Llori498836%(compare)2
54gemmax495736%(compare)301
55AMR0T493036%(compare)1
56moondog830489936%(compare)1
57boffo489536%(compare)1
58Vlatt485636%(compare)1
59tirawa85474036%(compare)2
60ivanhawk471236%(compare)131
61noone470136%(compare)1
62DBurkeG467836%(compare)1
63Aradel467536%(compare)1
64alfio99463436%(compare)1
65greenleaf462236%(compare)1
66redjack11460636%(compare)1
67fallenangel0456536%(compare)2
68Zarch456536%(compare)1
69Salmonella455836%(compare)1
70warrax453736%(compare)1
71rpugh450936%(compare)1
72Polmac449136%(compare)1
73jason303448636%(compare)1
74khadrin447736%(compare)1
75mms81447736%(compare)1
76huscarl127447736%(compare)1
77raedy445936%(compare)1
78sven3012445236%(compare)963
79nav1930445236%(compare)1
80Tazzak445236%(compare)1
81Locke445036%(compare)1
82mindphaser444836%(compare)2
83crazymadgreg443936%(compare)1
84higheagle443736%(compare)2
85arlo77443336%(compare)1
86peter14440836%(compare)1
87gunam440036%(compare)1
88Forthur439636%(compare)1
89Hans.Johansohn438036%(compare)1
90hammer3331436936%(compare)1
91HighEagle45435936%(compare)2
92Ray.Z435436%(compare)1
93thespis428236%(compare)1
94Apostolos427036%(compare)1
95Sprout427036%(compare)1
96truxton426436%(compare)1
97TombolaG426236%(compare)1
98SackmanDan423436%(compare)1
99Goofusrunning422236%(compare)2
100sven333421436%(compare)1
101whiterobes420836%(compare)1
102Jezzusist420736%(compare)1
103Celeris420536%(compare)1
104triko420036%(compare)3
105zal42416136%(compare)1
106sanjay100g415836%(compare)1
107slipnslide0525407336%(compare)1
108jinntann405836%(compare)1
109jesmith29404836%(compare)1
110mentaldisorder400936%(compare)2
111Shorty74400836%(compare)1
112Axinar399936%(compare)1
113AshayRey399336%(compare)1
114pomyj398236%(compare)1
115dcayrel397436%(compare)1
116DarthKong397036%(compare)3
117alexandervitch397036%(compare)8
118kransom393536%(compare)3
119boggits391436%(compare)3
120rdc46341391136%(compare)2
121steadyjeff389336%(compare)1
122bearx389036%(compare)1
123Vilesilencer382736%(compare)1
124otto.6380836%(compare)280
125Sirtar376137%(compare)1
126deadline375837%(compare)1
127cinico374037%(compare)5
128Mr.Mean371437%(compare)2
129zurawskia369337%(compare)1
130lonelord368337%(compare)2
131mig1off365737%(compare)2
132lucky364137%(compare)2
133hussar61363237%(compare)2
134fraschmc362737%(compare)1
135netrunnr362537%(compare)1
136Aldors.Rage361037%(compare)1
137speonjosh359637%(compare)1
138crash358937%(compare)12
139sanantonioguy358437%(compare)1
140tassman357737%(compare)1
141oletorole355237%(compare)2
142fitzroderick355137%(compare)1
143hauwienix353837%(compare)1
144nolook349737%(compare)2
145mestif349237%(compare)3
146shermanguy348637%(compare)3
147Slightlycrazy345737%(compare)1
148Cattivonci345237%(compare)1
149Korma343537%(compare)1
150Mordrig333837%(compare)3
151EmpZoooli331137%(compare)1
152synario330237%(compare)5
153Silencer329837%(compare)1
154blue.sheet327537%(compare)2
155belarge325937%(compare)1
156balarama324137%(compare)1
157dux33323637%(compare)2
158Omera323037%(compare)2
159blooman64321737%(compare)1
160Mishima314737%(compare)2
161Rodgero310637%(compare)1
162egoober310637%(compare)1
163rvrogers310637%(compare)1
164xuthalian301037%(compare)1
165kevinwh4224298937%(compare)1
166Svamptripp295637%(compare)1
167Yilan294137%(compare)4
168alienhead2293137%(compare)2
169Sid.Amos288337%(compare)2
170unclesalty283237%(compare)2
171corbell281337%(compare)1
1722020piru277737%(compare)1
173Jon.Dann274938%(compare)2
174Andy83273238%(compare)2
175PaoloL269838%(compare)13
176mjk1964267738%(compare)1
177godzilla266438%(compare)6
178JAMES264638%(compare)2
179kglunger259938%(compare)3
180winky258638%(compare)3
181Vardamar257238%(compare)3
182pier.250838%(compare)3
183cnallard316420247738%(compare)3
184NoukZiepoekZskiZ237938%(compare)2
185Davout1769237238%(compare)3
186ShermanTxGuy236338%(compare)4
187vardemis231638%(compare)250
188THEBOBIBIRD230738%(compare)7
189zardozislove229438%(compare)3
190Jagger224838%(compare)3
191Blackjoke223938%(compare)338
192Hingle.Hiemer.Schmit221038%(compare)2
193breach218238%(compare)2
194calgary214338%(compare)82
195Guevara2727201639%(compare)3
196Transludiste192639%(compare)78
197cannis183639%(compare)7
198Gattolardo177939%(compare)4
199soph..a175539%(compare)4
200dgthompson170239%(compare)2
201albi151170139%(compare)5
202sordros167939%(compare)5
203Wispy165240%(compare)14
204judith159040%(compare)3
205odisseolupin147040%(compare)101
206PsihoKekec142840%(compare)59
207tamlin141740%(compare)6
208Elvesgod138140%(compare)32
209b2007527135541%(compare)13
210Otacon132541%(compare)4
211Gerbner132141%(compare)5
212tlamb67129641%(compare)20
213Shootz126141%(compare)100
214Throbmaster124241%(compare)29
215Rebel120641%(compare)18
216ChandlerB112142%(compare)108
217Petrie000109042%(compare)29
218bladestalker106142%(compare)93
219mjolnir93443%(compare)342
220Mark200685444%(compare)37
221Skywalker78345%(compare)302
222dcr6675445%(compare)768
223Idlett74845%(compare)33
224illumbro71146%(compare)27
225browntrout69846%(compare)90
226Gugliandalf62347%(compare)160
227pnzrkity53949%(compare)975
228Mozbe50950%(compare)25
229nouki47151%(compare)18
230Hollander38855%(compare)61
xneko(non-competitive)209
xtic4447(non-competitive)410
xCromartie(non-competitive)3
xkindalas(non-competitive)4
xztest31(non-competitive)1
xblackwidow(non-competitive)1
xrainbow(non-competitive)4
xblackstar0(non-competitive)9
xregicide(non-competitive)5

How stats work

These statistics are computed with an ELO-like system. Stats are computed retroactively from the oldest ended game to the newest one. For this purpose, the time is given by the average between the creation time and the time when the game was created (it is assumed that the most crucial choices have been made at half-game). Unfortunately, the system keeps track accurately of the game creation time only for games created after February 2, 2006, 9:13 pm. For all other games, an estimate was made.
  • If you score a solo win, you score a double victory against all other players. You don't gain anything from eliminating the other players: the points you gain are independent of whether the enemy is eliminated or survives.
  • If you share in a multiple win (by diplomacy), you score:
    • a draw against all the players you share the victory with, and
    • a fraction of a double victory against all other players (that is, 2-way draw: full victory, 3-way: 2/3 of a victory, 4-way, 1/2 of a victory...).
    Again, the points you gain are independent of whether the enemy is eliminated or survives.
  • If you survive, you score:
    • 1/2 of a victory against all eliminated players,
    • a draw against all other surviving players,
    • a defeat against winners sharing a multiple win (see above),
    • a double defeat against a solo winner.
    So surviving is slightly better than being eliminated, because you will take some points from the eliminated players.
  • If you are eliminated, you score:
    • a draw against all other eliminated players,
    • 1/2 of a defeat against all surviving players,
    • a defeat against winners sharing a multiple win (see above),
    • a double defeat against a solo winner.
And then,
  • When you score a victory, you gain some rating points, depending on how strong your enemy is: if he is stronger you gain many rating points, if he is weaker you gain few rating points.
  • When you are defeated, you lose some rating points, depending on how strong your enemy is: if he is stronger you lose few rating points, and if he is weaker you lose more rating points.
  • When you draw, you will not lose or gain many rating points unless you are much stronger or weaker than your opponent. In extreme cases, a draw can be as good (or as bad) as 1/2 a victory (or defeat).
Important: Here and below we talk about changes in rating. Your actual rating is known only to the system. The system computes and compares all the ratings, and assigns you a rank between 0 and 10,000. Ranking changes are different from rating changes: your rank is affected also by what happens in games in which you are not involved (while your rating isn't).

For example, if a newbie turns out to be exceptionally strong, all players will gradually lose some rank points even if they have never played against the newbie. In essence, even very strong players will not look as strong as they once were.
In games with more players you can score more points if you win, and survival becomes important. Look up the following tables: in the first one you can see what your rating changes are, with your current rating; the following ones give the ratings for different possible estimated strengths.

Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 36% (Mozbe's mean value)
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players15.51.7----------------8.5-8.5-8.5
3 players20.66.32.3-------------3.1-4.5-7.1
4 players23.28.64.32.6----------0.4-2.5-6.4
5 players24.8105.53.62.8------1.2-1.3-6
6 players25.810.96.34.33.42.9---2.3-0.5-5.7
7 players26.511.66.94.83.83.233.10-5.5


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 25%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players183----------------6-6-6
3 players2484-------------1-2-5
4 players2710.564.5---------1.50-4.5
5 players28.8127.25.44.8------31.2-4.2
6 players3013865.25---42-4
7 players30.913.78.66.45.55.15.14.72.6-3.9


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 50%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players120----------------12-12-12
3 players1640-------------6-8-10
4 players18620----------3-6-9
5 players19.27.23.21.20-------1.2-4.8-8.4
6 players208420.80---0-4-8
7 players20.68.64.62.61.40.600.9-3.4-7.7


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 75%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players6-3----------------18-18-18
3 players80-4-------------11-14-15
4 players91.5-2-4.5----------7.5-12-13.5
5 players9.62.4-0.8-3-4.8-------5.4-10.8-12.6
6 players1030-2-3.6-5----4-10-12
7 players10.33.40.6-1.3-2.7-4-5.1-3-9.4-11.6


As you can see from these tables, for below-average players surviving can be an acceptable outcome. Above-average players need to win or share in a draw with very few players to gain some rating points. Keeping a consistently high rank is hard!