the Art of War: statistics and player rankings

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Show how points were awarded in game

All-time rankings

These are the rankings of all players
  • having at least one ended game,
  • who want to be rated.
Your ranking here is computed by comparing your rating to those of more players, so your it will be different with respect to the one above. This is due to inflation, a well-known feature of ELO-like systems: you can look up wikipedia for more information.
playerall-time rank Calsir's estimated victory probability ended games
1KillaKief981723%(compare)358
2sfatula980625%(compare)280
3Shabaka980125%(compare)302
4ivlivs979127%(compare)288
5Champace965839%(compare)200
6rubberduck965739%(compare)268
7BlckKnght965639%(compare)617
8birnn959243%(compare)417
9Sabelkatten953545%(compare)312
10imabot938149%(compare)135
11imdog934350%(compare)176
12Calsir933950%(compare)177
13Noeltje933250%(compare)477
14yrrah920152%(compare)25
15Zarby913253%(compare)31
16Silverman910253%(compare)55
17LordRandall908253%(compare)58
18julian878255%(compare)70
19Blackronin874856%(compare)58
20frawol873656%(compare)115
21WetRock873556%(compare)322
22StefanoZanotti865756%(compare)38
23cavetrolls863356%(compare)3
24deathzyy855356%(compare)69
25Ozzman848257%(compare)28
26bizio832857%(compare)26
27jerrykillyou824757%(compare)44
28chouxpomme782658%(compare)2
29mhswim748159%(compare)1
30lopezlorenz745159%(compare)1
31marcuza738959%(compare)10
32Hiark710159%(compare)3
33Churchill708659%(compare)1
34LuckyLuke708659%(compare)1
35astewart11708659%(compare)1
36Emerych702859%(compare)822
37zarathustra691060%(compare)1
38Sirrus669960%(compare)1
39MaxStirner668260%(compare)12
40teoavo75644060%(compare)99
41andymart16639260%(compare)3
42ChaosS635060%(compare)6
43dominator568961%(compare)1
44tnnnn564061%(compare)16
45animate558961%(compare)6
46ryang557961%(compare)2
47bramley.bomber545361%(compare)3
48seebnova543561%(compare)1
49frax224538461%(compare)765
50Patholas530461%(compare)2
51IMSmitticus514661%(compare)13
52Mithias509661%(compare)2
53Llori498861%(compare)2
54gemmax495761%(compare)301
55AMR0T493061%(compare)1
56moondog830489961%(compare)1
57boffo489561%(compare)1
58Vlatt485661%(compare)1
59tirawa85474061%(compare)2
60ivanhawk471261%(compare)131
61noone470161%(compare)1
62DBurkeG467861%(compare)1
63Aradel467561%(compare)1
64alfio99463461%(compare)1
65greenleaf462261%(compare)1
66redjack11460661%(compare)1
67fallenangel0456561%(compare)2
68Zarch456561%(compare)1
69Salmonella455861%(compare)1
70warrax453761%(compare)1
71rpugh450962%(compare)1
72Polmac449162%(compare)1
73jason303448662%(compare)1
74khadrin447762%(compare)1
75mms81447762%(compare)1
76huscarl127447762%(compare)1
77raedy445962%(compare)1
78sven3012445262%(compare)963
79nav1930445262%(compare)1
80Tazzak445262%(compare)1
81Locke445062%(compare)1
82mindphaser444862%(compare)2
83crazymadgreg443962%(compare)1
84higheagle443762%(compare)2
85arlo77443362%(compare)1
86peter14440862%(compare)1
87gunam440062%(compare)1
88Forthur439662%(compare)1
89Hans.Johansohn438062%(compare)1
90hammer3331436962%(compare)1
91HighEagle45435962%(compare)2
92Ray.Z435462%(compare)1
93thespis428262%(compare)1
94Apostolos427062%(compare)1
95Sprout427062%(compare)1
96truxton426462%(compare)1
97TombolaG426262%(compare)1
98SackmanDan423462%(compare)1
99Goofusrunning422262%(compare)2
100sven333421462%(compare)1
101whiterobes420862%(compare)1
102Jezzusist420762%(compare)1
103Celeris420562%(compare)1
104triko420062%(compare)3
105zal42416162%(compare)1
106sanjay100g415862%(compare)1
107slipnslide0525407362%(compare)1
108jinntann405862%(compare)1
109jesmith29404862%(compare)1
110mentaldisorder400962%(compare)2
111Shorty74400862%(compare)1
112Axinar399962%(compare)1
113AshayRey399362%(compare)1
114pomyj398262%(compare)1
115dcayrel397462%(compare)1
116DarthKong397062%(compare)3
117alexandervitch397062%(compare)8
118kransom393562%(compare)3
119boggits391462%(compare)3
120rdc46341391162%(compare)2
121steadyjeff389362%(compare)1
122bearx389062%(compare)1
123Vilesilencer382762%(compare)1
124otto.6380862%(compare)280
125Sirtar376162%(compare)1
126deadline375862%(compare)1
127cinico374062%(compare)5
128Mr.Mean371462%(compare)2
129zurawskia369362%(compare)1
130lonelord368362%(compare)2
131mig1off365762%(compare)2
132lucky364162%(compare)2
133hussar61363262%(compare)2
134fraschmc362762%(compare)1
135netrunnr362562%(compare)1
136Aldors.Rage361062%(compare)1
137speonjosh359662%(compare)1
138crash358962%(compare)12
139sanantonioguy358462%(compare)1
140tassman357762%(compare)1
141oletorole355262%(compare)2
142fitzroderick355162%(compare)1
143hauwienix353862%(compare)1
144nolook349762%(compare)2
145mestif349262%(compare)3
146shermanguy348662%(compare)3
147Slightlycrazy345762%(compare)1
148Cattivonci345262%(compare)1
149Korma343562%(compare)1
150Mordrig333862%(compare)3
151EmpZoooli331162%(compare)1
152synario330262%(compare)5
153Silencer329862%(compare)1
154blue.sheet327563%(compare)2
155belarge325963%(compare)1
156balarama324163%(compare)1
157dux33323663%(compare)2
158Omera323063%(compare)2
159blooman64321763%(compare)1
160Mishima314763%(compare)2
161Rodgero310663%(compare)1
162egoober310663%(compare)1
163rvrogers310663%(compare)1
164xuthalian301063%(compare)1
165kevinwh4224298963%(compare)1
166Svamptripp295663%(compare)1
167Yilan294163%(compare)4
168alienhead2293163%(compare)2
169Sid.Amos288363%(compare)2
170unclesalty283263%(compare)2
171corbell281363%(compare)1
1722020piru277763%(compare)1
173Jon.Dann274963%(compare)2
174Andy83273263%(compare)2
175PaoloL269863%(compare)13
176mjk1964267763%(compare)1
177godzilla266463%(compare)6
178JAMES264663%(compare)2
179kglunger259963%(compare)3
180winky258663%(compare)3
181Vardamar257263%(compare)3
182pier.250863%(compare)3
183cnallard316420247763%(compare)3
184NoukZiepoekZskiZ237964%(compare)2
185Davout1769237264%(compare)3
186ShermanTxGuy236364%(compare)4
187vardemis231664%(compare)250
188THEBOBIBIRD230764%(compare)7
189zardozislove229464%(compare)3
190Jagger224864%(compare)3
191Blackjoke223964%(compare)338
192Hingle.Hiemer.Schmit221064%(compare)2
193breach218264%(compare)2
194calgary214364%(compare)82
195Guevara2727201664%(compare)3
196Transludiste192664%(compare)78
197cannis183665%(compare)7
198Gattolardo177965%(compare)4
199soph..a175565%(compare)4
200dgthompson170265%(compare)2
201albi151170165%(compare)5
202sordros167965%(compare)5
203Wispy165265%(compare)14
204judith159065%(compare)3
205odisseolupin147066%(compare)101
206PsihoKekec142866%(compare)59
207tamlin141766%(compare)6
208Elvesgod138166%(compare)32
209b2007527135566%(compare)13
210Otacon132566%(compare)4
211Gerbner132166%(compare)5
212tlamb67129666%(compare)20
213Shootz126166%(compare)100
214Throbmaster124267%(compare)29
215Rebel120667%(compare)18
216ChandlerB112167%(compare)108
217Petrie000109067%(compare)29
218bladestalker106167%(compare)93
219mjolnir93468%(compare)342
220Mark200685469%(compare)37
221Skywalker78370%(compare)302
222dcr6675470%(compare)768
223Idlett74870%(compare)33
224illumbro71171%(compare)27
225browntrout69871%(compare)90
226Gugliandalf62372%(compare)160
227pnzrkity53973%(compare)975
228Mozbe50974%(compare)25
229nouki47175%(compare)18
230Hollander38877%(compare)61
xneko(non-competitive)209
xtic4447(non-competitive)410
xCromartie(non-competitive)3
xkindalas(non-competitive)4
xztest31(non-competitive)1
xblackwidow(non-competitive)1
xrainbow(non-competitive)4
xblackstar0(non-competitive)9
xregicide(non-competitive)5

How stats work

These statistics are computed with an ELO-like system. Stats are computed retroactively from the oldest ended game to the newest one. For this purpose, the time is given by the average between the creation time and the time when the game was created (it is assumed that the most crucial choices have been made at half-game). Unfortunately, the system keeps track accurately of the game creation time only for games created after February 2, 2006, 9:13 pm. For all other games, an estimate was made.
  • If you score a solo win, you score a double victory against all other players. You don't gain anything from eliminating the other players: the points you gain are independent of whether the enemy is eliminated or survives.
  • If you share in a multiple win (by diplomacy), you score:
    • a draw against all the players you share the victory with, and
    • a fraction of a double victory against all other players (that is, 2-way draw: full victory, 3-way: 2/3 of a victory, 4-way, 1/2 of a victory...).
    Again, the points you gain are independent of whether the enemy is eliminated or survives.
  • If you survive, you score:
    • 1/2 of a victory against all eliminated players,
    • a draw against all other surviving players,
    • a defeat against winners sharing a multiple win (see above),
    • a double defeat against a solo winner.
    So surviving is slightly better than being eliminated, because you will take some points from the eliminated players.
  • If you are eliminated, you score:
    • a draw against all other eliminated players,
    • 1/2 of a defeat against all surviving players,
    • a defeat against winners sharing a multiple win (see above),
    • a double defeat against a solo winner.
And then,
  • When you score a victory, you gain some rating points, depending on how strong your enemy is: if he is stronger you gain many rating points, if he is weaker you gain few rating points.
  • When you are defeated, you lose some rating points, depending on how strong your enemy is: if he is stronger you lose few rating points, and if he is weaker you lose more rating points.
  • When you draw, you will not lose or gain many rating points unless you are much stronger or weaker than your opponent. In extreme cases, a draw can be as good (or as bad) as 1/2 a victory (or defeat).
Important: Here and below we talk about changes in rating. Your actual rating is known only to the system. The system computes and compares all the ratings, and assigns you a rank between 0 and 10,000. Ranking changes are different from rating changes: your rank is affected also by what happens in games in which you are not involved (while your rating isn't).

For example, if a newbie turns out to be exceptionally strong, all players will gradually lose some rank points even if they have never played against the newbie. In essence, even very strong players will not look as strong as they once were.
In games with more players you can score more points if you win, and survival becomes important. Look up the following tables: in the first one you can see what your rating changes are, with your current rating; the following ones give the ratings for different possible estimated strengths.

Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 61% (Calsir's mean value)
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players9.3-1.3----------------14.7-14.7-14.7
3 players12.52.2-1.8-------------8.2-10.7-12.2
4 players1440.2-2----------5-8.7-11
5 players155.11.4-0.7-2.1-------3.1-7.5-10.3
6 players15.65.82.20.2-1.1-2.2----1.8-6.7-9.8
7 players166.32.80.9-0.4-1.4-2.3-0.8-6.1-9.4


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 25%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players183----------------6-6-6
3 players2484-------------1-2-5
4 players2710.564.5---------1.50-4.5
5 players28.8127.25.44.8------31.2-4.2
6 players3013865.25---42-4
7 players30.913.78.66.45.55.15.14.72.6-3.9


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 50%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players120----------------12-12-12
3 players1640-------------6-8-10
4 players18620----------3-6-9
5 players19.27.23.21.20-------1.2-4.8-8.4
6 players208420.80---0-4-8
7 players20.68.64.62.61.40.600.9-3.4-7.7


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 75%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players6-3----------------18-18-18
3 players80-4-------------11-14-15
4 players91.5-2-4.5----------7.5-12-13.5
5 players9.62.4-0.8-3-4.8-------5.4-10.8-12.6
6 players1030-2-3.6-5----4-10-12
7 players10.33.40.6-1.3-2.7-4-5.1-3-9.4-11.6


As you can see from these tables, for below-average players surviving can be an acceptable outcome. Above-average players need to win or share in a draw with very few players to gain some rating points. Keeping a consistently high rank is hard!