the Art of War: statistics and player rankings

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Show how points were awarded in game

All-time rankings

These are the rankings of all players
  • having at least one ended game,
  • who want to be rated.
Your ranking here is computed by comparing your rating to those of more players, so your it will be different with respect to the one above. This is due to inflation, a well-known feature of ELO-like systems: you can look up wikipedia for more information.
playerall-time rank birnn's estimated victory probability ended games
1KillaKief981428%(compare)358
2sfatula980330%(compare)280
3Shabaka979831%(compare)302
4ivlivs978733%(compare)288
5Champace965246%(compare)200
6rubberduck965146%(compare)268
7BlckKnght965046%(compare)617
8birnn958450%(compare)417
9Sabelkatten952752%(compare)312
10imdog951753%(compare)172
11imabot937056%(compare)135
12Calsir932757%(compare)177
13Noeltje932057%(compare)477
14yrrah918859%(compare)25
15Zarby911760%(compare)31
16Silverman908760%(compare)55
17LordRandall906760%(compare)58
18julian876262%(compare)70
19Blackronin872862%(compare)58
20WetRock871563%(compare)322
21StefanoZanotti863663%(compare)38
22cavetrolls861263%(compare)3
23deathzyy853063%(compare)69
24Ozzman845964%(compare)28
25bizio830364%(compare)26
26jerrykillyou822264%(compare)44
27chouxpomme779865%(compare)2
28mhswim745466%(compare)1
29lopezlorenz742466%(compare)1
30marcuza736166%(compare)10
31Hiark707566%(compare)3
32astewart11706066%(compare)1
33LuckyLuke706066%(compare)1
34Churchill706066%(compare)1
35Emerych700266%(compare)822
36zarathustra688566%(compare)1
37Sirrus667666%(compare)1
38MaxStirner665966%(compare)12
39teoavo75642067%(compare)99
40andymart16637267%(compare)3
41ChaosS633167%(compare)6
42dominator567967%(compare)1
43tnnnn563167%(compare)16
44animate558167%(compare)6
45ryang557167%(compare)2
46bramley.bomber544767%(compare)3
47seebnova542967%(compare)1
48frax224537967%(compare)765
49Patholas530168%(compare)2
50IMSmitticus514568%(compare)13
51Mithias509668%(compare)2
52Llori499068%(compare)2
53gemmax496068%(compare)301
54AMR0T493368%(compare)1
55moondog830490368%(compare)1
56boffo489968%(compare)1
57Vlatt486068%(compare)1
58tirawa85474768%(compare)2
59ivanhawk471968%(compare)131
60noone470868%(compare)1
61DBurkeG468568%(compare)1
62Aradel468268%(compare)1
63alfio99464268%(compare)1
64greenleaf463068%(compare)1
65redjack11461568%(compare)1
66fallenangel0457568%(compare)2
67Zarch457468%(compare)1
68Salmonella456768%(compare)1
69warrax454768%(compare)1
70rpugh452068%(compare)1
71Polmac450268%(compare)1
72jason303449768%(compare)1
73khadrin448868%(compare)1
74mms81448868%(compare)1
75huscarl127448868%(compare)1
76raedy447168%(compare)1
77sven3012446468%(compare)963
78nav1930446468%(compare)1
79Tazzak446368%(compare)1
80Locke446268%(compare)1
81mindphaser445968%(compare)2
82crazymadgreg445068%(compare)1
83higheagle444968%(compare)2
84arlo77444468%(compare)1
85peter14442068%(compare)1
86gunam441268%(compare)1
87Forthur440968%(compare)1
88Hans.Johansohn439368%(compare)1
89hammer3331438168%(compare)1
90HighEagle45437268%(compare)2
91Ray.Z436768%(compare)1
92thespis429668%(compare)1
93Apostolos428468%(compare)1
94Sprout428468%(compare)1
95truxton427868%(compare)1
96TombolaG427768%(compare)1
97SackmanDan424968%(compare)1
98Goofusrunning423768%(compare)2
99sven333422968%(compare)1
100whiterobes422368%(compare)1
101Jezzusist422268%(compare)1
102Celeris422068%(compare)1
103triko421668%(compare)3
104zal42417768%(compare)1
105sanjay100g417468%(compare)1
106slipnslide0525409168%(compare)1
107jinntann407668%(compare)1
108jesmith29406568%(compare)1
109mentaldisorder402868%(compare)2
110Shorty74402668%(compare)1
111Axinar401768%(compare)1
112AshayRey401268%(compare)1
113pomyj400168%(compare)1
114dcayrel399368%(compare)1
115DarthKong398968%(compare)3
116alexandervitch398968%(compare)8
117kransom395468%(compare)3
118boggits393468%(compare)3
119rdc46341393068%(compare)2
120bearx391068%(compare)1
121Vilesilencer384869%(compare)1
122otto.6382969%(compare)280
123Sirtar378369%(compare)1
124deadline377969%(compare)1
125cinico376269%(compare)5
126Mr.Mean373669%(compare)2
127zurawskia371569%(compare)1
128lonelord370669%(compare)2
129mig1off367969%(compare)2
130lucky366469%(compare)2
131hussar61365569%(compare)2
132fraschmc365069%(compare)1
133netrunnr364869%(compare)1
134Aldors.Rage363469%(compare)1
135speonjosh361969%(compare)1
136crash361269%(compare)12
137sanantonioguy360769%(compare)1
138tassman360069%(compare)1
139oletorole357669%(compare)2
140fitzroderick357569%(compare)1
141hauwienix356369%(compare)1
142nolook352169%(compare)2
143mestif351769%(compare)3
144shermanguy351169%(compare)3
145Slightlycrazy348269%(compare)1
146Cattivonci347769%(compare)1
147Mordrig336469%(compare)3
148EmpZoooli333769%(compare)1
149synario332869%(compare)5
150Silencer332469%(compare)1
151blue.sheet330269%(compare)2
152belarge328669%(compare)1
153balarama326769%(compare)1
154dux33326369%(compare)2
155Omera325769%(compare)2
156blooman64324469%(compare)1
157Mishima317569%(compare)2
158rvrogers313469%(compare)1
159egoober313469%(compare)1
160Rodgero313469%(compare)1
161kevinwh4224301869%(compare)1
162Svamptripp298569%(compare)1
163Yilan296969%(compare)4
164alienhead2296069%(compare)2
165Sid.Amos291269%(compare)2
166unclesalty286169%(compare)2
167corbell284269%(compare)1
1682020piru280669%(compare)1
169Jon.Dann277869%(compare)2
170Andy83276169%(compare)2
171PaoloL272770%(compare)13
172mjk1964270770%(compare)1
173godzilla269470%(compare)6
174JAMES267670%(compare)2
175kglunger262970%(compare)3
176winky261570%(compare)3
177Vardamar260270%(compare)3
178pier.253770%(compare)3
179cnallard316420250670%(compare)3
180NoukZiepoekZskiZ240870%(compare)2
181Davout1769240170%(compare)3
182ShermanTxGuy239270%(compare)4
183vardemis234570%(compare)250
184THEBOBIBIRD233670%(compare)7
185zardozislove232370%(compare)3
186Jagger227770%(compare)3
187Blackjoke226870%(compare)338
188Hingle.Hiemer.Schmit223870%(compare)2
189breach221170%(compare)2
190calgary217270%(compare)82
191frawol216770%(compare)111
192Guevara2727204470%(compare)3
193Transludiste195471%(compare)78
194cannis186371%(compare)7
195Gattolardo180571%(compare)4
196soph..a178171%(compare)4
197dgthompson172871%(compare)2
198albi151172771%(compare)5
199sordros170571%(compare)5
200Wispy167771%(compare)14
201judith161571%(compare)3
202odisseolupin149472%(compare)101
203PsihoKekec145172%(compare)59
204tamlin144072%(compare)6
205Elvesgod140372%(compare)32
206b2007527137772%(compare)13
207Otacon134672%(compare)4
208Gerbner134372%(compare)5
209tlamb67131772%(compare)20
210Shootz128272%(compare)100
211Throbmaster126373%(compare)29
212Rebel122673%(compare)18
213ChandlerB114073%(compare)108
214Petrie000110873%(compare)29
215bladestalker107973%(compare)93
216mjolnir95074%(compare)342
217Mark200686975%(compare)37
218Skywalker79675%(compare)302
219dcr6676776%(compare)768
220Idlett76176%(compare)33
221illumbro72376%(compare)27
222browntrout71176%(compare)90
223Gugliandalf63477%(compare)160
224pnzrkity54979%(compare)975
225Mozbe51879%(compare)25
226nouki47980%(compare)18
227Hollander39582%(compare)61
xneko(non-competitive)209
xtic4447(non-competitive)410
xCromartie(non-competitive)3
xkindalas(non-competitive)4
xztest31(non-competitive)1
xblackwidow(non-competitive)1
xrainbow(non-competitive)4
xblackstar0(non-competitive)9
xregicide(non-competitive)5

How stats work

These statistics are computed with an ELO-like system. Stats are computed retroactively from the oldest ended game to the newest one. For this purpose, the time is given by the average between the creation time and the time when the game was created (it is assumed that the most crucial choices have been made at half-game). Unfortunately, the system keeps track accurately of the game creation time only for games created after February 2, 2006, 9:13 pm. For all other games, an estimate was made.
  • If you score a solo win, you score a double victory against all other players. You don't gain anything from eliminating the other players: the points you gain are independent of whether the enemy is eliminated or survives.
  • If you share in a multiple win (by diplomacy), you score:
    • a draw against all the players you share the victory with, and
    • a fraction of a double victory against all other players (that is, 2-way draw: full victory, 3-way: 2/3 of a victory, 4-way, 1/2 of a victory...).
    Again, the points you gain are independent of whether the enemy is eliminated or survives.
  • If you survive, you score:
    • 1/2 of a victory against all eliminated players,
    • a draw against all other surviving players,
    • a defeat against winners sharing a multiple win (see above),
    • a double defeat against a solo winner.
    So surviving is slightly better than being eliminated, because you will take some points from the eliminated players.
  • If you are eliminated, you score:
    • a draw against all other eliminated players,
    • 1/2 of a defeat against all surviving players,
    • a defeat against winners sharing a multiple win (see above),
    • a double defeat against a solo winner.
And then,
  • When you score a victory, you gain some rating points, depending on how strong your enemy is: if he is stronger you gain many rating points, if he is weaker you gain few rating points.
  • When you are defeated, you lose some rating points, depending on how strong your enemy is: if he is stronger you lose few rating points, and if he is weaker you lose more rating points.
  • When you draw, you will not lose or gain many rating points unless you are much stronger or weaker than your opponent. In extreme cases, a draw can be as good (or as bad) as 1/2 a victory (or defeat).
Important: Here and below we talk about changes in rating. Your actual rating is known only to the system. The system computes and compares all the ratings, and assigns you a rank between 0 and 10,000. Ranking changes are different from rating changes: your rank is affected also by what happens in games in which you are not involved (while your rating isn't).

For example, if a newbie turns out to be exceptionally strong, all players will gradually lose some rank points even if they have never played against the newbie. In essence, even very strong players will not look as strong as they once were.
In games with more players you can score more points if you win, and survival becomes important. Look up the following tables: in the first one you can see what your rating changes are, with your current rating; the following ones give the ratings for different possible estimated strengths.

Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 68% (birnn's mean value)
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players7.8-2.1----------------16.2-16.2-16.2
3 players10.41.2-2.8-------------9.5-12.2-13.5
4 players11.72.8-0.8-3.2----------6.2-10.2-12.2
5 players12.43.80.4-1.8-3.4-------4.2-9-11.4
6 players134.51.2-0.8-2.3-3.5----2.8-8.2-10.8
7 players13.34.91.8-0.1-1.5-2.7-3.6-1.9-7.7-10.4


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 25%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players183----------------6-6-6
3 players2484-------------1-2-5
4 players2710.564.5---------1.50-4.5
5 players28.8127.25.44.8------31.2-4.2
6 players3013865.25---42-4
7 players30.913.78.66.45.55.15.14.72.6-3.9


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 50%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players120----------------12-12-12
3 players1640-------------6-8-10
4 players18620----------3-6-9
5 players19.27.23.21.20-------1.2-4.8-8.4
6 players208420.80---0-4-8
7 players20.68.64.62.61.40.600.9-3.4-7.7


Rating changes whenever your estimated victory probability against all opponents is 75%
endgame: victory draw victory
your standing: win 2-way 3-way 4-way 5-way 6-way 7-way unique survivor all survive unique eliminated
2 players6-3----------------18-18-18
3 players80-4-------------11-14-15
4 players91.5-2-4.5----------7.5-12-13.5
5 players9.62.4-0.8-3-4.8-------5.4-10.8-12.6
6 players1030-2-3.6-5----4-10-12
7 players10.33.40.6-1.3-2.7-4-5.1-3-9.4-11.6


As you can see from these tables, for below-average players surviving can be an acceptable outcome. Above-average players need to win or share in a draw with very few players to gain some rating points. Keeping a consistently high rank is hard!